Sofia Shapatava vs Vittoria Paganetti Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance compare between the players? Paganetti has a recent second serve point win rate of 36.79%, slightly trailing Shapatava's 38.56%.
• Who outperforms in return games? Paganetti leads with a 51.75% win rate on opponents' second serves, compared to Shapatava’s 49.31%.
• First serve return effectiveness? Paganetti is stronger, capturing 37.53% of points, while Shapatava lags at 30.54%.
• Under pressure break point defense shows Shapatava at 42.71%, surpassing Paganetti's 38.54%.
• In overall match performance over the past year, Paganetti has a slight edge with a 63.27% win rate versus Shapatava's 59.34%.
• Surface strengths show Paganetti prefers clay, with a 58% win rate, while Shapatava excels on grass at 67%.
• Player level participation differs; Paganetti competes mainly in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, while Shapatava focuses on Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments.
• In direct head-to-head, Paganetti leads, having won their only match convincingly 6-3 6-3.
• The average duration of matches between them is 1:25:0, with no deciding sets or tiebreaks played.
• Deciding set career performance favors Shapatava, winning 57%, compared to Paganetti’s 50%.
• Against tougher opponents, Paganetti's average opponent rank is 402.94, slightly more challenging than Shapatava's 410.57.
• Break point conversion in recent form sees Paganetti outperforming with a 45.81% conversion rate against Shapatava's 36.58%.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

Paganetti shows a slight advantage in return games, especially on first serve returns, which can be pivotal in shifting match momentum. This aspect of her game might tip the scales in closely contested games.

Despite trailing slightly in second serve statistics, Paganetti's strong performance in head-to-head matches, especially their past encounter against Shapatava, suggests mental and strategic superiority.

While Shapatava has a stronger record in deciding set scenarios, if the match does not reach this stage, Paganetti’s baseline consistency and overall performance stats could be enough to clinch victory.

Therefore, examining all the data points, Paganetti seems more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.